Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
35.25% ( 0.51) | 24.89% ( 0.11) | 39.87% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -0.43) | 45.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -0.41) | 67.63% ( 0.4) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.09) | 25.07% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.13) | 59.75% ( -0.13) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( -0.74) | 56.23% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |