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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 27, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hibs logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian

Oda (8')
Hill (9'), Shankland (89'), Atkinson (90+4')
Cochrane (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nisbet (31')
Johnson (10'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Stevenson (24'), Cadden (63'), Devlin (90+4'), Campbell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Rangers 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Hibernian

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 Celtic
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian

 We can see Hearts and Hibernian serving up an entertaining encounter at Tynecastle as both sides aim to finish the season on a high, with the Edinburgh rivals expected to share the spoils in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
42.89% (-2.552 -2.55) 23.44% (0.222 0.22) 33.66% (2.325 2.33)
Both teams to score 62.85% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.22% (-0.169 -0.17)38.78% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)61.09% (0.174 0.17)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-1.104 -1.1)18.47% (1.099 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-1.894 -1.89)49.67% (1.89 1.89)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (1.256 1.26)22.91% (-1.26 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (1.821 1.82)56.67% (-1.825 -1.83)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 42.89%
    Hibernian 33.66%
    Draw 23.44%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.397 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.354 -0.35)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.35 0.35)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.361 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.253 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.159 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
43.8%
Draw
25.0%
Hibernian
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 32
Hibernian
1-0
Hearts
Nisbet (67')
Egan Riley (10'), Johnson (11'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Cadden (61'), Newell (78'), Campbell (90+1'), Hanlon (90+1')

Naismith (0'), Devlin (20'), Atkinson (77'), Kingsley (89'), Sibbick (90+2')
Jan 22, 2023 2pm
Fourth Round
Hibernian
0-3
Hearts

Jeggo (18'), Bushiri (50')
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
McKay (19'), Cochrane (27'), Shankland (50'), Ginnelly (90+7')
Shankland (90+1')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 20
Hearts
3-0
Hibernian
Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')

Cadden (11')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
gameweek 2
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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