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Champions League
Genk
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Luminus Arena
Servette

Genk
2 - 2
Servette

Tresor Ndayishimiye (28' pen.), Arokodare (51')
Vrancken (6'), Tresor Ndayishimiye (69'), Paintsil (103')
FT
(aet)
Cognat (36'), Bedia (63')
Douline (40'), Bedia (42'), Severin (84'), Rouiller (89'), Cognat (90+5'), Vouilloz (109')
Crivelli (5')
Servette win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Genk and Servette, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: RWDM 0-4 Genk
Saturday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Servette

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Servette 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

We say: Genk 2-1 Servette

 While Servette did put on an excellent showing on their home patch last week, they will likely find it much more difficult on the road this time around. Genk have a very good home record over the last year, and we expect them to get through to the next round, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Servette had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%).

Result
GenkDrawServette
49.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.76% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 28.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.68% (0.016000000000005 0.02)38.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.6% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.11% (0.012999999999991 0.01)15.88% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (0.021999999999998 0.02)45.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Servette Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93%26.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88%61.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Genk 49.13%
    Servette 28.11%
    Draw 22.75%
GenkDrawServette
2-1 @ 9.42%
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 49.13%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.11%

How you voted: Genk vs Servette

Genk
76.3%
Draw
10.5%
Servette
13.2%
38
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 7.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Servette
1-1
Genk
Rouiller (77')
Douline (28'), Antunes (39'), Guillemenot (90+2')
Arokodare (21')
Munoz (52'), Paintsil (80'), Cuesta (84')
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