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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Preston

Stansfield (68')
Laird (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keane (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

With relegation becoming more of a possibility as the season progresses, Birmingham need a positive result to halt a worrying slide since the loss of Mowbray. Preston are aiming to string a couple of wins together in order to keep pace with the top six, but we feel that the Lilywhites will have to settle for a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.42% (-0.717 -0.72) 27.36% (0.34 0.34) 35.22% (0.385 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-1.024 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-1.304 -1.3)55.83% (1.311 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-1.073 -1.07)76.95% (1.08 1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-1.044 -1.04)28.8% (1.051 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-1.321 -1.32)64.65% (1.329 1.33)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)30.14% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (-0.488 -0.49)66.29% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.41%
    Preston North End 35.22%
    Draw 27.35%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
23.9%
Draw
20.9%
Preston North End
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Preston
2-1
Birmingham
Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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