MX23RW : Monday, May 20 11:12:06| >> :600:235263:235263:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gradski stadion
Freiburg logo

Backa Topola
1 - 3
Freiburg

Petrovic (13')
Cvetkovic (60'), Vlalukin (88'), Calusic (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grifo (49' pen., 59', 73')
Lienhart (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Backa Topola and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Backa Topola 2-2 Olympiacos
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg

Given the manner of their comeback against Olympiacos, Backa Topola will fancy their chances of earning more points against Freiburg. However, we feel that the German side may click into gear in this contest, undoing their next opponents at the back like West Ham and the Greek outfit last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Backa TopolaDrawFreiburg
36.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.6% (0.029 0.03) 39.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.94% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.06% (-0.157 -0.16)38.94% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.74% (-0.164 -0.16)61.26% (0.163 0.16)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)21.3% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.116 -0.12)54.24% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)20.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-0.126 -0.13)52.22% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Backa Topola 36.87%
    Freiburg 39.53%
    Draw 23.6%
Backa TopolaDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 39.53%

How you voted: Backa Topola vs Freiburg

Backa Topola
7.2%
Draw
8.4%
Freiburg
84.3%
83
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
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RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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