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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | 1st Leg
May 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crewe
0 - 2
Doncaster


Demetriou (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Molyneux (34'), Biggins (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Doncaster Rovers

 Although both teams finished level on points, Doncaster will have momentum on their side after winning 10 of their previous 11 matches, and we think that they will claim another victory when they face a Crewe side that has lost each of their last three home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
29.96% (0.322 0.32) 24.19% (0.286 0.29) 45.84% (-0.607 -0.61)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.8 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-1.141 -1.14)43.89% (1.142 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-1.126 -1.13)66.28% (1.127 1.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.357 -0.36)27.64% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (-0.463 -0.46)63.18% (0.464 0.46)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)19.3% (0.705 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-1.173 -1.17)51.06% (1.174 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 29.96%
    Doncaster Rovers 45.84%
    Draw 24.19%
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.96%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.262 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Crewe vs Doncaster

Crewe Alexandra
22.2%
Draw
9.3%
Doncaster Rovers
68.5%
54
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Adelakun (17'), Rowe (58')

Rowe (37'), Adebisi (43'), Cooney (54'), Williams (65')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
3-2
Doncaster
Offord (29'), O'Riordan (44', 90+2')
Thomas (90')
Faal (16'), Ironside (57')
Maxwell (19'), Anderson (37')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Doncaster
0-2
Crewe
Baker-Richardson (31'), O'Riordan (37')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-1
Doncaster
Baker-Richardson (14')
Miller (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Doncaster
2-0
Crewe
Rowe (10'), Martin (47')
Rowe (60')

Mandron (60'), Long (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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