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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
AFC Wimbledon

Stockport
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Bailey (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (12'), Balmer (80'), Bugiel (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Stockport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

 Stockport County ended the month of March in sparkling form, looking strong across the board in their last two convincing triumphs. Therefore, we believe they will have the upper hand against a Wimbledon side that have not been quite as consistent over 90 minutes and are not nearly as sharp in front of goal as the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
58.58% (-0.174 -0.17) 22.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 18.59% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.172 -0.17)48.94% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.157 -0.16)71.03% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.119 -0.12)16.39% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (-0.217 -0.22)46.03% (0.217 0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 58.58%
    AFC Wimbledon 18.59%
    Draw 22.82%
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.58%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 6% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.59%

How you voted: Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon

Stockport County
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Stockport
Davison (32')
Davison (42'), Brown (45+3')
Barry (50'), Collar (62')
Croasdale (45+2'), Wright (68')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Stockport
Pell (48')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stockport
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Horsfall (11')
Horsfall (53')

Pell (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Rublev
7pm
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Lehecka
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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