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Forest Green Rovers
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Harrogate Town
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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Colchester United

Mansfield
2 - 1
Colchester

Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29'), Swan (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Newby (10')
Chambers (85'), Dallison (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Colchester United

Mansfield have been in poor form in recent weeks, but this game serves as a good opportunity to get their season back on track. The Stags do not have a great defensive record, so they may concede, but they should have too much quality for Colchester to contend with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
62.4% (-0.892 -0.89) 22.59% (0.398 0.4) 15.01% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 43.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.615 -0.62)53.62% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.522 -0.52)75.12% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.514 -0.51)16.72% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (-0.935 -0.93)46.62% (0.937 0.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (0.348 0.35)47.66% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (0.254 0.25)82.98% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 62.39%
    Colchester United 15.01%
    Draw 22.59%
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 62.39%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.01%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Colchester

Mansfield Town
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Colchester United
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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