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League One | 2nd Leg
May 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
2 - 3
Barnsley

Collins (45+1'), Toal (52')
Thomason (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cosgrove (32', 81'), Phillips (63')
O'Keeffe (54+2'), Phillips (71'), Williams (83+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will have to take risks to have any hope of mounting a comeback, but we think that could play into Bolton's hands, which is why we believe that the hosts will add to their two-goal cushion and book their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
54.53% (-1.36 -1.36) 21.46% (0.393 0.39) 24% (0.969 0.97)
Both teams to score 62.7% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.15% (-0.779 -0.78)35.85% (0.77999999999999 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (-0.864 -0.86)57.93% (0.865 0.87)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.663 -0.66)13.24% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-1.356 -1.36)40% (1.358 1.36)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.33800000000001 0.34)27.73% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.433 0.43)63.3% (-0.433 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.53%
    Barnsley 24%
    Draw 21.46%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.199 0.2)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 24%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
81.6%
Draw
14.0%
Barnsley
4.4%
114
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Barnsley
1-3
Bolton
Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
Charles (23', 53'), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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