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Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Wycombe Wanderers

Carlisle
1 - 3
Wycombe

McCalmont (28')
Neal (4'), Dudik (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCleary (15', 75'), Kone (49')
Botts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers

 With relegation already confirmed, Wycombe are cruising towards the season's end, and we are expecting another limp performance from the Cumbrians on the weekend. The Chairboys are continuing to push on following their EFL Trophy heartbreak earlier in the month, and we reckon that they will pick up a third straight win at Brunton Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
21.72% (0.0040000000000013 0) 24.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 54.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)50.51% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.65% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13%49.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 21.72%
    Wycombe Wanderers 54.08%
    Draw 24.18%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.08%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Wycombe

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Wycombe Wanderers
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wycombe
2-0
Carlisle
Leahy (40' pen.), Vokes (74')
Stryjek (54'), Forino-Joseph (65')

Moxon (17')
Andresson (29')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Wycombe
4-3
Carlisle
Bloomfield (28'), O'Nien (31'), Cowan-Hall (90'), Bean (90')
O'Nien (48')
Grainger (49' pen.), Devitt (68'), Stockton (70')
Parkes (22'), Bonham (61'), Twardek (72')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
3-3
Wycombe
Lambe (4', 84'), Devitt (38' pen.)
Saunders (45'), Akinfenwa (72'), Cowan-Hall (90')
Saunders (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Wycombe
1-2
Carlisle
Akinfenwa (2')
Saunders (76')
Proctor (9'), Lambe (34')
O'Sullivan (20'), Liddle (79'), Jones (82')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Wycombe
Miller (57')
Jones (64')

Jombarti (12'), Harriman (71'), Stewart (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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