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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Oxford United |
26.41% ( 0.47) | 26.44% ( 0.04) | 47.14% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 48.78% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.7% ( 0.16) | 55.3% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.48% ( 0.14) | 76.52% ( -0.14) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.73% ( 0.48) | 36.27% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.94% ( 0.49) | 73.05% ( -0.49) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( -0.16) | 23.46% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( -0.23) | 57.47% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |