Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.
