Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
