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Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Jan 29, 2022 at 4pm UK
Independence Stadium
Cameroon national football team

Gambia
0 - 2
Cameroon


Sonko-Sundberg (21'), Modou (33'), Gaye (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toko Ekambi (50', 57')
Ngadeu-Ngadjui (48')

Preview: Gambia vs. Cameroon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Gambia and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Host nation Cameroon get the ball rolling in the quarter-finals of the Africa Cup of Nations when they lock horns with Gambia at the Douala Stadium on Saturday.

Gambia have enjoyed a sensational debut at the tournament, claiming three wins and keeping three clean sheets from their four games and will look to cause another major upset.


Match preview

Cameroon's Karl Toko-Ekambi celebrates scoring their first goal with Vincent Aboubakar and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting on January 24, 2022© Reuters

Despite being the lowest-ranked side in the Africa Cup of Nations, Gambia find themselves in contention for a place in the semi-finals after a superb run so far.

The Scorpions, who are making their first appearance at the tournament, kicked off their campaign with a 1-0 victory over Mauritania on January 12, before holding out for an impressive 1-1 draw with Mali four days later.

Tom Saintfiet's men wrapped up the group stages in style as they stunned Tunisia to a 1-0 victory at the Limbe Omnisport Stadium last Thursday courtesy of a 93rd-minute winner from Ablie Jallow.

Gambia carried on their habit of causing upsets into the knockout stages of the tournament as they put on a sensational show of class to grind out a 1-0 victory over Guinea in Kouekong last time out.

In what was their third 1-0 victory at the competition, Bologna forward Musa Barrow came up trumps for the Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam when he struck the winner in the 71st minute to send Guinea crashing out of the tournament.

Cameroon's Vincent Aboubakar celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, just three games away from conquering the continent, Cameroon will feel delighted by their performance on home soil and confident in their chances of going all the way.

The Indomitable Lions enjoyed an unbeaten run in the group stages, claiming successive wins over Burkina Faso and Ethiopia in their opening two games, before being held to a 1-1 draw by Cape Verde in their final group game.

With seven points from three games, Cameroon secured smooth passage into the knockout stages after finishing at the summit of Group A, three points above Burkina Faso and Cape Verde, who were level on four points.

Toni Conceicao's side continued their charge for their sixth Africa Cup of Nations title last time out when they claimed a 2-1 victory over a Coronavirus-hit Comoros side when they squared off at the Paul Biya Stadium.

After Karl Toko Ekambi opened the scoring just before the half-hour mark, Vincent Aboubakar continued his sensational goalscoring form as he doubled the advance in the 70th minute before Youssouf M'Changama scored an absolute beauty from a free kick to pull one back for the newcomers.

Cameroon head into Saturday's game unbeaten in each of their last eight games across all competitions, picking up an impressive seven wins and one draw since a 2-1 loss at the hands of Ivory Coast back in September's World Cup qualification clash.

Gambia Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Gambia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Cameroon Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Cameroon form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W


Team News

Gambia's Musa Barrow celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 24, 2022© Reuters

Gambia will take to the pitch without the services of Yusupha Njie, who turns out for Boavista in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, after the 28-year-old forward received his marching orders in the game against Guinea last time out.

On the injury front, Ablie Jallow is a major doubt for the Scorpions after the Metz forward hobbled off the pitch in the aforementioned game shortly after the hour mark through injury, meaning Ebrima Colley could push for a return to the XI.

Noah Sonko Sundberg missed the game against Guinea last Thursday after picking up a slight injury versus Tunisia and the 25-year-old defender's participation is also in doubt.

Barrow, who scored the winner against the Syli Nationale, has been involved in all of Gambia's four goals at the tournament, and the Bologna man will certainly be one to keep an eye out for.

Meanwhile, Aboubakar has been on song for Senegal so far, netting six goals in four outings, and we expect the 30-year-old forward to spearhead the Senegal attack once again.

The former Porto man, who currently leads the race for the Golden Boot, broke Samuel Eto'o record to become the first Cameroonian to score in four straight AFCON matches with his strike against Comoros last time out.

With that said, we expect to see a similar side from that game, with Ekambi, Andre Zambo Anguissa, Martin Hongla and Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu all starting at the centre of the park.

Gambia possible starting lineup:
Jobe; Modou, Colley, Sanneh, Tore; Marreh, Adams, Darboe; Colley, Barrow, Ceesay

Cameroon possible starting lineup:
Onana; Fai, Moukoudi, Ngadeu, Tolo; Hongla, Anguissa, Ngamaleu, Ekambi; Aboubakar, Choupo-Moting


SM words green background

We say: Gambia 0-2 Cameroon

Cameroon are presented with yet another easy fixture as they go up against a debuting nation for the second game running. However, Gambia have proven to be no pushover at the tournament and will look to stun the Indomitable Lions on home soil. However, Cameroon boast the quality and experience needed at this stage of the tournament and we are tipping them to come away with the win in normal time.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Cameroon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cameroon.


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Game History

How you voted: Gambia vs Cameroon

Gambia
27.6%
Draw
8.9%
Cameroon
63.4%
123
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Comoros' Rafidine Abdullah in action with Cameroon's Karl Toko-Ekambi at the Africa Cup of Nations on January 24, 2022
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Equatorial Guinea flag Eq Guinea32107
Q Nigeria Nigeria32107
Q Cote D'Ivoire flag Ivory Coast31023
4 Guinea-Bissau flag Guinea-Bissau30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Cape Verde flag Cape Verde32107
Q Egypt Egypt30303
3 Ghana flag Ghana30212
4 Mozambique flag Mozambique30212

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Senegal flag Senegal33009
Q Guinea flag Guinea31114
Q Cameroon flag Cameroon31114
4 Gambia flag Gambia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Angola Angola32107
Q Burkina Faso flag Burkina Faso31114
Q Mauritania flag Mauritania31023
4 Algeria Algeria30212

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Mali flag Mali31205
Q South Africa South Africa31114
Q Namibia Namibia31114
4 Tunisia Tunisia30212

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Morocco Morocco32107
Q DR Congo flag Congo DR30303
3 Tanzania flag Tanzania30212
4 Zambia flag Zambia30212


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