Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Latvia2 - 3Turkey
Form, Standings, Stats
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 1-0 Latvia
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Latvia 2-2 Turkey
Only a 99th-minute winning goal the last time both nations met prevented a sixth straight draw between Latvia and Turkey. That result seemed anomalous, and a score draw could be on the cards in Friday's encounter at Skonto Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Turkey |
15.15% ( -0.04) | 20.44% ( 0) | 64.41% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
