Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina2 - 1FC Twente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Sunday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Atalanta BC | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Sittard
Sunday, August 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, August 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 3 | 6 |
We said: Fiorentina 2-1 FC Twente
Both sides clearly know the way to goal - Twente have already scored 11 times in four competitive games; Fiorentina netted three in their first match at the weekend - so this could be an open encounter. The hosts should have enough nous, though, to take a one-goal lead to the Netherlands next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | FC Twente |
45.48% ( 0.14) | 22.68% ( 0.06) | 31.85% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 64.95% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
