Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dukagjini had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.57%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Dukagjini win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.