Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ4 - 1Vaduz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, September 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, September 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 17 | 15 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 6 | 8 | 13 |
Last Game: Vaduz 0-0 Apollon Limassol
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vaduz
AZ boast the more experienced crop of players at this level and will heavily fancy themselves to emerge victorious here. We expect the hosts to come away with all three points in a fairly routine manner. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vaduz |
46.08% ( 0.03) | 25.93% ( 0.01) | 27.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
