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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
50.46% | 25.23% | 24.31% |
Both teams to score 50.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.82% | 52.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.11% | 73.89% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% | 20.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% | 53.29% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.62% | 36.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% | 73.16% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |