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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
26.93% | 24.83% | 48.23% |
Both teams to score 54.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.45% | 48.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.33% | 70.67% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.77% | 32.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.28% | 68.72% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.83% | 20.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.55% | 52.45% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 7.36% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.63% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 8.33% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |