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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
39.77% ( 0.17) | 27.28% ( -0.07) | 32.95% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.17% ( 0.24) | 55.83% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.05% ( 0.2) | 76.95% ( -0.2) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( 0.21) | 27.45% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% ( 0.27) | 62.94% ( -0.27) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% ( 0.05) | 31.63% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% ( 0.06) | 68.04% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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