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FC Twente logo
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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Eredivisie | 2nd Leg
Jun 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Heerenveen

FC Twente
4 - 0
Heerenveen

Vlap (11'), Propper (22'), Brenet (45'), Misidjan (68')
Sadilek (9'), Zerrouki (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Haye (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 FC Twente
Thursday, June 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 FC Twente
Thursday, June 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen (Twente win 3-1 on aggregate)

Twente's home form of late gives them reason for optimism heading into this one, but Heerenveen have also been tough to beat on the road recently. We expect a keenly-contested affair with the hosts narrowly emerging victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawHeerenveen
60.98% (-0.154 -0.15) 20.04% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 18.98% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)35.8% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.12% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)57.88% (0.067 0.07)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)11.39% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (-0.128 -0.13)36.14% (0.131 0.13)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.072999999999993 0.07)32.15% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.082999999999998 0.08)68.63% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 60.98%
    Heerenveen 18.98%
    Draw 20.04%
FC TwenteDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 60.98%
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.04%
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.16% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 18.98%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Heerenveen

FC Twente
77.8%
Draw
5.6%
Heerenveen
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 5.45pm
Heerenveen
1-2
FC Twente
Haye (45+1')
van Ottele (55'), van Ewijk (63'), Colassin (71')
Cerny (19'), Ugalde (90+3')
Ugalde (81'), van Wolfswinkel (81')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
gameweek 24
FC Twente
3-3
Heerenveen
Propper (34'), Ugalde (48'), Cerny (55')
Hilgers (25' og.), Van Ewijk (59'), Kaib (90')
Sep 18, 2022 1.30pm
Jan 15, 2022 7pm
gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-0
Heerenveen
Ugalde (77'), Van Wolfswinkel (88' pen.)
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 7
Heerenveen
2-3
FC Twente
Propper (74' og.), Veerman (81')
Dresevic (9'), Veerman (45+2'), Musaba (50')
Van Wolfswinkel (10' pen.), Rots (42'), Van Beek (66' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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