MX23RW : Monday, May 13 19:20:03| >> :600:3104573:3104573:
Newport County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Forest Green Rovers

Newport
1 - 2
Forest Green

Evans (90+2')
Collins (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stevenson (69'), Fiabema (79')
Brown (39'), O'Keeffe (90+3')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Barrow
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
36.56% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 25.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 38.12% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.59% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (0.058 0.06)47.15% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (0.052 0.05)69.38% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (0.071000000000012 0.07)25.2% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)59.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.34% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)58.74% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.56%
    Forest Green Rovers 38.12%
    Draw 25.32%
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.12%

How you voted: Newport vs Forest Green

Newport County
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Forest Green Rovers
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
1-1
Forest Green
Azaz (3')
Lewis (32'), Bennett (38'), Cooper (46'), Clarke (69'), Street (84')
Clarke (84')
Aitchison (55')
Matt (38')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Forest Green
2-0
Newport
Stevens (33', 61')

Pask (39'), Cain (64'), Street (68')
May 23, 2021 6.30pm
Forest Green
4-3
Newport
Adams (7'), Collins (8'), Cadden (53'), Matt (87')
Collins (41')
Ellison (70'), Labadie (76'), Maynard (119')
May 18, 2021 8.15pm
Newport
2-0
Forest Green
Dolan (31'), Collins (56')
Sheehan (45+1')

Bernard (19')
Feb 21, 2021 1pm
Newport
0-2
Forest Green

Hartigan (34'), Townsend (62')
Davison (43'), Matt (63' pen.)
Bernard (34'), Adams (51'), Godwin-Malife (67')
rhs 2.0
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