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Rotherham logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Morecambe

Rotherham
0 - 1
Morecambe

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnahoua (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Rotherham United and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 2-0 Morecambe

While Morecambe will be looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and march on in the cup competition, standing in their way is a rampant Rotherham United side who are unbeaten in 15 straight games. We are backing the home side to make light work of the Shrimps, who have struggled for results since the second quarter of the year, and come away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMorecambe
64.93% (0.0099999999999909 0.01) 19.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 15.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)42.8% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (0.076000000000001 0.08)65.2% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.68% (0.054000000000002 0.05)38.31% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03% (0.051000000000002 0.05)40.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47% (0.047000000000001 0.05)77.53% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 64.92%
    Morecambe 15.08%
    Draw 19.99%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 64.92%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 15.08%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Morecambe

Rotherham United
88.2%
Draw
8.8%
Morecambe
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Morecambe
0-1
Rotherham

Andersson (22'), Cooney (90+4')
Smith (60')
Mattock (88'), Smith (90+4')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Rotherham
4-5
Morecambe
Halford (59' pen.), Yates (81', 120'), Forde (83')
Stockton (6'), Dunn (68', 92', 118'), Ellison (113')
Apr 6, 2013 3pm
Oct 23, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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