Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35
Apr 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II3 - 2De Graafschap
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and De Graafschap.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Willem II
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 0-1 ADO Den Haag
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
56
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | De Graafschap |
48.45% ( -0.18) | 23.7% ( 0.16) | 27.85% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
