Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion
Dordrecht4 - 0Jong Ajax
Kriwak (25'), Robert Shein (33'), Bronkhorst (36'), van den Avert (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Chourak (22'), Agougil (42')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and Jong Ajax.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dordrecht 5-2 Cambuur
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Jong Ajax 3-0 VVV-Venlo
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 3-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
47.18% ( 0.23) | 20.83% ( -0.02) | 31.98% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 72.22% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
