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DC United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28
Aug 29, 2021 at 1am UK
RFK Stadium
Philadelphia Union

DC United
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Kamara (36' pen.), Reyna (49'), Abila (90+5')
Najar (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Birnbaum (22' og.)
Elliott (59')

Preview: DC United vs. Philadelphia Union - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

DC United are looking to end their run of three consecutive defeats when they host Philadelphia Union on Sunday, in the Eastern Conference of the MLS.

The visitors have 32 points to their name after playing 21 matches, while DC United sit in seventh but only above Atlanta United on goal difference.


Match preview

DC United forward Nigel Robertha celebrates scoring with teammates on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Hernan Losada's side have not lost four games back-to-back this campaign, and they will need to avoid defeat on Sunday to ensure that does not change.

DC United had the opportunity to extend the gap between themselves and the playoffs chasing pack last time out, but they ended up allowing Atlanta to close in on seventh spot after victory at the Audi Field.

Yordy Reyna had equalised for DC United but eight minutes from time, Marcelino Moreno scored the winning goal to extend Atlanta's winning run to four games.

First-choice goalkeeper Bill Hamid has been sidelined due to injury in recent games, and Jon Kempin has filled in between the posts, but he has conceded a number of goals in recent games.

DC United let in eight goals across two games against New England Revolution and Nashville SC, meaning that they have now conceded the most goals out of the top 11 teams in the Eastern Conference.

Philadelphia Union midfielder Quinn Sullivan celebrates his goal with teammates on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Philadelphia bounced back from disappointment in their first-leg CONCACAF Champions League semi-final with victory against New York City, followed by a 1-1 draw with Montreal last time out.

Union had to wait until the 87th-minute for their equaliser, which came from substitute Quinn Sullivan, just six minutes after he entered the pitch at Subaru Park.

Including this game against DC United, Jim Curtin's side have two games before their second-leg Champions League tie against Mexican outfit Club America, and they will want to go into that game with a string of positive results under their belt.

Philadelphia have already travelled to Washington this season, and came away with three points courtesy of a winning strike from Kacper Przybylko, which was only one of two shots the visitors managed on target that day.

DC United will be determined to avoid defeat this time around, after Philadelphia completed their second victory over Losada's side at the end of July, that game ended 2-1 to Union thanks to goals from Sergio Santos and Przybylko.

DC United Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Philadelphia Union form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

DC United head coach Hernan Losada smiles as he walks off the field after the against FC Cincinnati in the first half at TQL Stadium on July 31, 2021© Reuters

Goalkeeper Hamid will continue to be absent for DC United, along with centre-back Donovan Pines, forward Nigel Robertha and winger Paul Arriola, who are all expected to recover from their injuries next month.

Brendan Hines-Ike, who suffered a broken hip at the beginning of July, and Adrien Perez, who is recovering from a broken ankle sustained in early August, will have to wait a little longer to return for Losada's side.

Kempin, Steven Birnbaum, Joseph Mora and Edison Flores were the only players to retain their place in the starting 11 for the last game from the side which lost to New England, but Losada could revert back to a similar lineup to the side which beat Montreal.

Philadelphia centre-back pairing of Jack Elliott and Jakob Glesnes has started every MLS game this season and that will continue on Sunday, with Jose Andres Martinez sitting in front of them in a defensive midfield role.

Przybylko was replaced by Cory Burke for the last game, but Przybylko is expected to return to the starting lineup, which could look similar to the side which beat New York City.

DC United possible starting lineup:
Kempin; Alfaro, Brillant, Najar; Mora, Nyeman, Moreno, Gressel; Paredes, Kamara, Flores

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Wagner, Elliott, Glesnes, Powell; Flach, Martinez, Bedoya; Gazdag; Santos, Przybylko


SM words green background

We say: DC United 1-2 Philadelphia Union

DC United have scored at least one goal in their last five MLS games and that is expected to continue on Sunday having registered 20 shots on target in their last three outings.

However, Philadelphia know how to get the better of DC United, having done so twice already this season, and they go into this fixture in better form than their hosts, which should help them come away with three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United
11.8%
Draw
11.8%
Philadelphia Union
76.5%
17
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New York City FC forward Valentin Castellanos (11) celebrates a goal by forward Santiago Rodriguez (not pictured) against Toronto FC with defender Malte Amundsen (12) and forward Thiago (8) during the first half at BMO Field on August 7, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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