Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio George Capwell
Emelec2 - 1Cuenca
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mancinelli (49' pen.)
Recalde (38'), Rinaldi (45'), Melo (58'), Biojo (60'), Lopez (90+7')
Recalde (38'), Rinaldi (45'), Melo (58'), Biojo (60'), Lopez (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Emelec and Deportivo Cuenca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Deportivo Cuenca had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Deportivo Cuenca win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
Result | ||
Emelec | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
67.48% ( -0.38) | 20.44% ( 0.19) | 12.08% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 42.25% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.86% ( -0.29) | 51.14% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.01% ( -0.26) | 72.99% ( 0.26) |
Emelec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.76% ( -0.21) | 14.23% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.02% ( -0.41) | 41.98% ( 0.41) |
Deportivo Cuenca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.26% ( 0.16) | 50.74% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.83% ( 0.11) | 85.16% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Emelec 67.47%
Deportivo Cuenca 12.08%
Draw 20.44%
Emelec | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.72% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 67.47% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 12.08% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 23:41:54
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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