Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Cali win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.