Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
Audax0 - 1Nublense
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Audax Italiano 0-1 Nublense (Nublense win 1-0 on aggregate)
Neither side has found the net with any regularity of late, but with a place in the last 16 on the line, both will have to come out of their shells at some stage. It may still be only one goal that decides who will progress, and Nublense can make their possession pay this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nublense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Nublense |
53.63% ( 0.23) | 25.72% ( -0.15) | 20.65% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
