MX23RW : Monday, May 13 19:23:07| >> :600:11592830:11592830:
Fortaleza
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Estudiantes

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Estudiantes

Romero (55')
Capixaba (34'), Marcelo (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (63')
Noguera (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fortaleza and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Newell's OB
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Estudiantes

While Fortaleza's form on the domestic front has been more than concerning, Vojvoda's men have shown themselves to be a different side in South America's premier competition this season, and they will be keen to gain an advantage on home turf. We back them to narrowly triumph on Friday, with everything still in the balance for next week's second leg in Argentina. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawEstudiantes
32.02% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.98% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 41% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)54.87% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)76.16% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.78% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.21% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)26.32% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)61.46% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 32.02%
    Estudiantes 41%
    Draw 26.98%
FortalezaDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Estudiantes

Fortaleza
59.5%
Draw
21.6%
Estudiantes
18.9%
37
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!