MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 04:31:25| >> :120:6428:6428:
Club Libertad
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
1 - 2
Alianza Lima

Cardozo (90+4' pen.)
Piris (67'), Barboza (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (46'), Sabbag (71')
Castillo (69'), Zambrano (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

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Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Libertad
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Alianza Lima

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Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-0 Athletico PR
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawAlianza Lima
59.51% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 23.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.11% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)53.22% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.058 -0.06)74.78% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)17.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)48.15% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.4% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.39% (-0.029 -0.03)80.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 59.5%
    Alianza Lima 17.11%
    Draw 23.36%
Club LibertadDrawAlianza Lima
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 59.5%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.11%

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