Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Aurora1 - 0Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Aurora and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aurora win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aurora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aurora in this match.
Result | ||
Aurora | Draw | Melgar |
44.43% ( -0.4) | 26.37% ( 0.14) | 29.2% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.48% ( -0.42) | 53.52% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% ( -0.36) | 75.04% ( 0.36) |
Aurora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( -0.38) | 23.97% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( -0.54) | 58.21% ( 0.54) |
Melgar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.89% ( -0.02) | 33.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.29% ( -0.03) | 69.71% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Aurora 44.43%
Melgar 29.2%
Draw 26.37%
Aurora | Draw | Melgar |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.2% |
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Aurora
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 23:16:45
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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