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Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Third-Place Playoff
Mar 24, 2024 at 10pm UK
AT&T Stadium
Jamaica national football team

Panama
0 - 1
Jamaica

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lembikisa (41')
Palmer (43'), Latibeaudiere (69'), Lembikisa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Jamaica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 0-3 Mexico
Friday, March 22 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-1 Jamaica
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Jamaica 0-1 Panama

After being seconds away from advancing, we wonder what the state of mind of the Reggae Boyz will be heading into a match which is really only for pride. The Panamanians will be disappointed with their semi-final performance, but they always seem to bounce back quickly from a rough outing, and we believe they will do so again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Jamaica in this match.

Result
PanamaDrawJamaica
57.47%23.03%19.5%
Both teams to score 50.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49%48.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36%70.64%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37%16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54%46.46%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24%75.76%
Score Analysis
    Panama 57.45%
    Jamaica 19.5%
    Draw 23.03%
PanamaDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 5.88%
4-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 2.87%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.5%

How you voted: Loser Semi-final 1 vs Loser Semi-final 2

Loser Semi-final 1
14.8%
Draw
29.6%
Loser Semi-final 2
55.6%
27
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2022 10.05pm
Third Round
Panama
3-2
Jamaica
Brown (43' og.), Davis (51'), Mello (69')
Antonio (5' pen.), Gray (87')
Morrison (45'), Pinnock (90+4')
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
Third Round
Jamaica
0-3
Panama

Nicholson (89')
Andrade (14'), Blackburn (39'), Waterman Ruiz (82')
Jun 30, 2019 10.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Jamaica
1-0
Panama
Mattocks (75' pen.)
Hector (49'), Lowe (90'), Nicholson (90')

Barcenas (86')
rhs 2.0
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