CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Jun 15, 2022 at 1am UK
Independence Park
Jamaica1 - 1Mexico
We said: Jamaica 1-2 Mexico
Given the recent disarray in the Jamaica camp, the home side are not best placed to take advantage of their visitors' relative inexperience, and they are still set to lose to a second-string Mexican side. The Reggae Boyz last kept a clean sheet in October - some 11 games ago - so there is little chance of shutting out an attack motivated by the chance of a place on the plane to Qatar. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jamaica | Draw | Mexico |
25.73% ( 0.02) | 25.02% ( 0.02) | 49.25% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% ( -0.04) | 50.2% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% ( -0.04) | 72.16% ( 0.04) |
Jamaica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( -0) | 34.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% ( -0.01) | 70.76% ( 0.01) |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% ( -0.03) | 20.4% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.17% ( -0.05) | 52.83% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Jamaica 25.73%
Mexico 49.25%
Draw 25.01%
Jamaica | Draw | Mexico |
1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.25% |
How you voted: Jamaica vs Mexico
Jamaica
16.1%Draw
12.5%Mexico
71.4%56
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 12am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-10 17:29:00
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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