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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Jul 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
New York City

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
NY City

Nagbe (45+3'), Zelarayan (62')
Abdul-Salaam (9'), Hairston (37'), Santos (77'), Francis (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Medina (47')
Chanot (31'), Medina (34'), Acevedo (39'), Thorarinsson (51')

Preview: Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Locked together on points in the MLS Eastern Conference, eighth-placed Columbus Crew will host a New York City FC side which sit just two places above them on Saturday.

While the hosts have gone four straight games without victory, the Pigeons have won three of their five league fixtures since these teams last met in May.


Match preview

Columbus Crew head coach Caleb Porter on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Coming into this weekend, Columbus Crew remain unbeaten at home; winning three and drawing two of their five games at the Historic Crew Stadium and their brand new Lower.com Field headquarters so far this term.

Caleb Porter's side have drawn each of their last three Eastern Conference matches all told, including last Saturday's 2-2 draw at FC Cincinnati. Though the hosts led by two goals during the first half - and enjoyed a one-man advantage for the entire second period after Crew defender Harrison Afful was dismissed for a pair of bookings - the defending MLS Cup champions fought back to salvage a hard-earned point on the road.

A goal and an assist from Lucas Zelarayan - the club's record signing, who played as a lone frontman following Afful's untimely departure - proved vital in rescuing what looked like a lost cause for Porter and company. The former United States Under-23 coach later praised his team for their tough mentality, as Columbus had started the game with 11 players missing through injury or on international duty.

Even if they have not managed to secure maximum points since last month's win over Chicago Fire, the Ohio-based outfit have now rallied from two goals down in successive games.

After a fractious encounter against their rivals last time out - after which the MLS Disciplinary Committee found both clubs in violation of their 'Mass Confrontation Policy' - the Crew will hope for a more serene return to winning ways at the Lower.com Field this weekend, as they face a team they beat 2-1 when they met earlier this season, and have also overcome in both of their last two clashes on home soil.

New York City FC midfielder Keaton Parks celebrates his goal with defender Gudmundur Thórarinsson on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Having been overtaken by Montreal in the MLS standings following a 2-1 defeat to the Canadian club last Thursday, inconsistent New York City have lost their grip on the coat-tails of front-runners New England Revolution.

As a result, City have picked up seven points from a possible 15 on the road so far this season, after returning from Florida - where the game was staged due to travel restrictions - following a previous run of three consecutive home fixtures.

They continue their road trip on Saturday evening, hoping to improve on their failure to protect a one-goal advantage over Montreal, given to them by former Benfica B midfielder Keaton Parks, who also netted a dramatic equaliser in their 2-1 victory over DC United the previous week.

Nevertheless, Ronny Deila's side remain very much in the mix for a playoff place come the end of the regular season - particularly still having a game in hand on most of their closest competitors.

So far, the Blues have scored in each of their 11 games during this MLS campaign, netting 19 goals in total - the third-highest tally of any Eastern Conference team.

Though those goals have been evenly distributed throughout the squad, City's top scorer has been Paraguayan midfielder Jesus Medina - with five strikes so far already matching his final total of last season. He has not found the net since the end of May, though, so will be eager to get back on the goal trail versus a Columbus side which have conceded twice in each of their last two games.

Columbus Crew Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

New York City FC Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Columbus Crew forward Gyasi Zerdes celebrates his goal with teammates on June 20, 2021© Reuters

As USA striker Gyasi Zardes and his deputy, veteran Englishman Bradley Wright-Phillips, are both unavailable, Columbus have arranged a trade for Montreal's Erik Hurtado, who could be involved on Saturday.

While Zardes is on international duty, Wright-Phillips remains out with a thigh injury which has limited the former New York Red Bulls man to just six appearances to date, so the Crew have found themselves light in terms of attacking options. In fact, before he departed, Zardes had scored four times in his previous five starts, demonstrating the hosts' reliance on his penalty-box potency.

Lucas Zelarayan has fared relatively well in his absence, though, so should retain his place in Caleb Porter's XI, which will once more be without goalkeeper Eloy Room, Kevin Molino and Derrick Etienne Jr - each called up to their respective national teams too.

Furthermore, Columbus are likely to have Milton Valenzuela, Artur, Aidan Morris and Josh Williams unavailable through injury, while right-back Harrison Afful must serve a suspension.

New York City head coach Ronny Deila, meanwhile, will be without Brazilian forward Heber, as he continues to recover from a serious knee injury suffered last year.

Though Peru defender Alex Callens has returned from Copa America duty, both James Sands and Sean Johnson are still away representing the United States at the Gold Cup - with the former appearing as a substitute in the midweek win against Haiti. Luis Barraza should once again deputise for Johnson in goal.

Columbus Crew possible starting lineup:
Bush; Abdul-Salaam, Jonathan, Wormgoor, Francis; Hairston, Kitchen; Santos, Nagbe, Matan; Zelarayan

New York City FC possible starting lineup:
Barraza; Morales, Chanot, Ibeagha; Tinnerholm, Acevedo, Parks, Amundsen; Moralez, Tajouri; Castellanos


SM words green background

We say: Columbus Crew 1-1 New York City FC

The home side's run without a win could continue this week, as Columbus remain depleted by the absence of several key players and have developed a habit of going behind in the first half of games.

New York City, though, are a very much hit-and-miss proposition, so they will not necessarily be able to press home that advantage on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs NY City

Columbus Crew
42.9%
Draw
38.1%
New York City FC
19.0%
21
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New York City FC head coach Ronny Deila on May 15, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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