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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fulham in this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Fulham |
35.41% | 25.99% | 38.6% |
Both teams to score 54.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.81% | 50.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% | 72.15% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.71% | 27.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.27% | 62.73% |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% | 25.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% | 60.31% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3% Total : 35.41% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |