Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Sport1 - 1Athletico PR
We said: Sport Recife 2-1 Athletico Paranaense
Sport Recife have been solid defensively on home turf all-season long, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing them to secure all three points in this one at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sport Recife | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 45.6% | 27.38% | 27.02% |
| Both teams to score 46.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
