Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%).
