MX23RW : Monday, May 6 04:32:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Athletico Paranaense

Gremio
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
Reinaldo (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Internacional 3-2 Gremio
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

 While Gremio boast the third-best home record in Serie A - winning 10 games from 13 so far - Athletico have just three away wins to their name in this year's Brasileiro. Therefore, the hosts can get back to winning ways after their derby defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAthletico Paranaense
53.71% (0.154 0.15) 24.81% (-0.182 -0.18) 21.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.548 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.705 0.7)53.24% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.596 0.6)74.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (0.339 0.34)19.78% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16% (0.547 0.55)51.84% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (0.428 0.43)39.68% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (0.392 0.39)76.36% (-0.39399999999999 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.71%
    Athletico Paranaense 21.47%
    Draw 24.81%
GremioDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.71%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 21.47%

How you voted: Gremio vs Athletico PR

Gremio
88.6%
Draw
11.4%
Athletico Paranaense
0.0%
35
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Roque (34')
Bueno (55'), Heleno (76')
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Adriel (55'), Reinaldo (56'), Henrique (90+6'), Martins (90+8')
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 37
Gremio
1-0
Athletico PR
Thaciano (77')
Mendes (43'), Ferreira (72'), Silva (75')

Nikao (61')
Heleno (90+3')
Oct 25, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Eduardo (44')
Nikao (53'), Christian (65'), Vinicius (90+1')
Heleno (56' og.), Ferreira (88')
Everton (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR531173410
2Bahia531186210
3Atletico Mineiro52309369
4Botafogo530211659
5BragantinoBragantino52307529
6PalmeirasPalmeiras52213128
7FlamengoFlamengo52215508
8Sao Paulo52128537
9InternacionalInternacional42114317
10Cruzeiro42117707
11Gremio42024316
12FortalezaFortaleza41304316
13CriciumaCriciuma31206245
14Corinthians51223305
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Fluminense5122710-35
17Vasco da GamaVasco5104410-63
18Vitoria401349-51
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO401327-51
20Cuiaba4004010-100
> Brasileiro Full Table


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