We said: Goias 1-0 Cuiaba
Having such a demanding schedule can be detrimental, but given how well Goias have fared in those other competitions, we believe they will gain some much-needed confidence which could benefit them this weekend.
Cuiaba have been better of late but have not shown they can maintain that kind of consistency long term, so we are giving the home side a slight edge in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.