Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians2 - 1Cruzeiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Cruzeiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Corinthians
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, July 13 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, July 13 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Cruzeiro |
55.44% ( -0.02) | 23.19% ( 0.07) | 21.36% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( -0.36) | 46.8% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -0.34) | 69.06% ( 0.33) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.27% ( -0.14) | 16.72% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.36% ( -0.24) | 46.63% ( 0.24) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% ( -0.25) | 36.14% ( 0.25) |