MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 19:18:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bragantino
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Diogao
Avai

Bragantino
4 - 0
Avai

Candido (70'), Alerrandro (76'), Helinho (87'), Praxedes (90')
Ortiz (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Raniele (43'), Vaz (65'), Cortez (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bragantino 1-0 Avai

With only four goals from their first seven away games of the campaign, Avai are unlikely to pose a sustained threat to the Bragantino goal. As the hosts should also dictate the play from midfield - bossing the ball and controlling the tempo - only one moment of magic may be needed to secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawAvai
62.39% (0.116 0.12) 23.06% (0.126 0.13) 14.55% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 41.37% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94% (-0.846 -0.85)56.06% (0.84399999999999 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86% (-0.692 -0.69)77.14% (0.69000000000001 0.69)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)17.59% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (-0.461 -0.46)48.16% (0.457 0.46)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.2% (-0.869 -0.87)49.8% (0.867 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.48% (-0.614 -0.61)84.52% (0.61099999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 62.38%
    Avai 14.55%
    Draw 23.05%
BragantinoDrawAvai
1-0 @ 15.22% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 13.22% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 62.38%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 14.55%

How you voted: Bragantino vs Avai

Bragantino
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Avai
0.0%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100


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