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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 at 1am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Athletico Paranaense

Botafogo
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Erison (19'), Jeffinho (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Heleno (47'), Terans (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

Last Six:
Last Game: Santos 2-0 Botafogo
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, July 20 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 1-3 Athletico Paranaense

 The visitors will have renewed confidence following their return to winning ways, and they meet Botafogo at a good time with Castro's side struggling for form. We envisage an away victory on Sunday, with the Rubro-Negro having enough to outclass their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
42.02% (-0.327 -0.33) 28.19% (-0.113 -0.11) 29.78% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 45.89% (0.505 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (0.535 0.54)59.99% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (0.404 0.4)80.23% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.078999999999994 0.08)28.18% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (0.099000000000004 0.1)63.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.632 0.63)36.1% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.638 0.64)72.88% (-0.63900000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 42.02%
    Athletico Paranaense 29.78%
    Draw 28.18%
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Botafogo
0-2
Athletico PR

Marcelo (69'), Babi (71'), Alexandre (83')
Kayzer (31'), Cittadini (48')
Nikao (44'), Kayzer (45+2')
Sep 9, 2020 9.30pm
Athletico PR
1-1
Botafogo
Ravanelli (88')
Gonzalez (9')
Luis (80' pen.)
Nov 17, 2019 9pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Botafogo
Anderson (59')
Anderson (39'), Heleno (47'), Bambu (65'), Azevedo (85')

Carli (22')
Aug 11, 2019 8pm
Botafogo
2-1
Athletico PR
Morais (31'), Souza (77' pen.)
Paulo (40'), Pimpao (49'), Santos (67')
Anderson (16')
Cittadini (49')
Oct 28, 2018 1am
Athletico PR
2-1
Botafogo
Bergson (56'), Pablo (84')
Guilherme (40'), Bergson (44')
Brenner (30' pen.)
Saulo (50'), Conceicao (64'), Carli (64'), Fernandes (72'), Fernando (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100
> Brasileiro Full Table


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