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Bournemouth logo
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 17, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Rotherham logo

Bournemouth
1 - 0
Rotherham

Billing (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wiles (63'), Harding (73'), Smith (77')

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Rotherham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Jonathan Woodgate potentially has one more game to stake a claim to become Bournemouth's next permanent manager when the Cherries welcome Rotherham United to the Vitality Stadium.

Bournemouth enter the midweek round of Championship fixtures sixth in the table, while visitors Rotherham are in 21st and just one point above the relegation zone.


Match preview

Bournemouth caretaker manager Jonathan Woodgate pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Former England centre-back Woodgate has won two and drawn one of his three games as interim boss following the exit of Jason Tindall.

The 41-year-old is thought to be in the running to take over permanently, though the likes of Marco Silva, David Wagner and Patrick Viera are all higher-profile candidates.

Woodgate can be pleased with his work since stepping in, though Saturday's goalless draw with Nottingham Forest leaves Bournemouth looking over their shoulder at the chasing pack.

In-form Cardiff City are within six points of the Cherries in the final playoff spot, and the two sides are set to face off next week in a potentially huge clash.

Bournemouth cannot afford to drop more points, then, having now won just one of their last seven league matches - a 3-2 victory against Birmingham City in their most recent home match.

Rotherham United manager Paul Warne pictured in January 2021© Reuters

However, the South Coast side have lost two times in their last three league games at the Vitality Stadium, compared to just two losses in their previous 14 such matches.

That could be good news for a Rotherham side boasting a three-game winning streak on their travels, beating Derby County, Middlesbrough and Preston North End in that run.

Paul Warne's side lost 2-1 to Cardiff late on, but three wins in their last five overall is the type of form that will keep them above the dotted line.

Rotherham have had eight days' rest heading into Wednesday's meeting with Bournemouth, too, following the postponement of Saturday's game against Queens Park Rangers.

However, the Millers are winless in five league games against the Cherries since 2009, most recently playing out a 2-2 draw in November's clash at the New York Stadium.

Bournemouth Championship form: LLLLWD
Bournemouth form (all competitions): WLLWWD

Rotherham United Championship form: DWLWWL


Team News

Lloyd Kelly in action for Bournemouth in pre-season on July 31, 2019© Reuters

Steve Cook has been ruled out with a groin injury, likely meaning a start for Lloyd Kelly alongside Cameron Carter-Vickers in the heart of defence.

Shane Long has failed to find the net in his first two starts since joining on loan from Southampton, though he should still get the nod over Sam Surridge here.

Woodgate has plenty of squad depth and could turn to the likes of Phillip Billing, Lewis Cook and David Brooks.

As for the visitors, Jamie Lindsay, Joe Mattock and Chiedozie Ogbene are among those on the sidelines.

Angus MacDonald and Ryan Giles are among those pushing for recalls on the back of the defeat to Cardiff a week ago.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Begovic; Smith, Kelly, Carter-Vickers, Rico; Lerma, Cook, Wilshere; Brooks, Long, Danjuma

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Harding, MacDonald, Robertson, Ihiekwe, Giles; Wing, Wiles, Crooks, Barlaser; Smith


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham have won three away games in a row and are seeking a fourth on the spin in the second tier for the first time since March 1982.

However, Bournemouth ended a three-match winless run at home last time out and we can see them digging deep to pick up all three points.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.


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Bournemouth's Jack Wilshere celebrates after scoring their second goal on February 6, 2021
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