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Besiktas
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Inonu Stadium
Alanyaspor

Besiktas
4 - 1
Alanyaspor

Batshuayi (2', 43'), Souza (25'), Yalcin (78')
Welinton (46'), Batshuayi (60'), Ismael (66')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Karaca (23')

Preview: Besiktas vs. Alanyaspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Besiktas will bid to end a five-game winless run in all competitions when they play host to Alanyaspor on Saturday.

The visitors, who sit in fourth place, are in fine form after winning four of their last five Super Lig matches.


Match preview

Besiktas' Cyle Larin celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 19, 2021© Reuters

The home side's European hopes have been dealt a blow in recent weeks with Besiktas winless in their last four league matches.

Three of those four contests ended in draws, with Besiktas's inability to convert draws into victories hindering their progress.

Their most recent point came in dramatic circumstances, as the Black Eagles held the league leaders Trabzonspor to a 1-1 draw, despite Besiktas falling behind courtesy of Andreas Cornelius's opener.

Michy Batshuayi spurned an opportunity to equalise from the spot, but his blushes were spared when Valentin Rosier restored parity and although the Black Eagles were reduced to 10-men following Cyle Larin's red card, they held firm to claim a point.

Although Besiktas are currently five points adrift of the top four, Saturday's contest against fourth-placed Alanyaspor represents a chance to close the gap.

Besiktas goalkeeper Ersin Destanoglu pictured in January 2021© Reuters

However, Alanyaspor will be battling hard to hold onto their top-four spot, as they enter Saturday's contest with a two-point gap to fifth-placed Istanbul Basaksehir.

After suffering a 5-2 defeat to Fenerbahce, Saturday's visitors bounced back in impressive fashion, claiming victory in their last two matches.

Goztepe were ousted by a 2-0 scoreline before they edged out Caykur Rizespor last weekend to keep them firmly on track for European qualification.

Emre Akbaba gave his side an early lead against Caykur Rizespor before Efecan Karaca doubled Alanyaspor's advantage from the spot, and though Papiss Cisse cut the deficit, Francesco Farioli's charges held firm to clinch back-to-back victories.

With Besiktas representing tough opposition, Alanyaspor will look to draw inspiration from the 2-0 victory that they picked up against the Black Eagles in the reverse fixture.

Besiktas Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

Besiktas form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

Alanyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Alanyaspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Miralem Pjanic in action for Besiktas in November 2021© Reuters

Larin was sent off within 12 minutes of entering the action against Trabzonspor, ruling the Canadian out of Saturday's contest due to suspension.

Despite missing a spot kick, Batshuayi is expected to retain his place in the starting lineup with the Chelsea loanee looking to add to the 12 league goals that he has scored this season.

Miralem Pjanic will be on the bench for the hosts after returning from injury to feature as a substitute last weekend.

Alanyaspor, meanwhile, could be without Famara Diedhiou who missed the win over Caykur Rizespor through injury.

Farioli is expected to keep changes to a minimum, although he could bring Umut Gunes into the starting lineup for the weekend's contest.

Furkan Bayir and Fatih Aksoy both came into the centre of defence last Sunday, and they are set to retain their places in the backline for the away encounter with Besiktas.

Besiktas possible starting lineup:
Destanoglu; Rosier, Vida, Montero, Yilmaz; Bozdogan, Souza; Ghezzal, Teixeira, Karaman; Batshuayi

Alanyaspor possible starting lineup:
Marafona; Juanfran, Bayir, Aksoy, Borja; Karaca, Akbaba, Novais, Gunes, Bingol; Candeias


SM words green background

We say: Besiktas 2-2 Alanyaspor

Besiktas have drawn 11 league games this season, and we think that they will experience another drawn contest on Saturday when they come up against an Alanyaspor side who are determined to hold onto their top-four spot.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Besiktas vs Alanyaspor

Besiktas
52.9%
Draw
17.6%
Alanyaspor
29.4%
17
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor341841260451558
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34157124639752
5BesiktasBesiktas34156134540551
6KasimpasaKasimpasa34147135659-349
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34147134551-649
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor341212104946348
9SivassporSivasspor341212104145-448
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12KayserisporKayserispor341110133948-940
13Samsunspor34109153744-739
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu34814124245-338
15KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
16GaziantepGaziantep3497183954-1534
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor34712153848-1033
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3447232667-4116


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