Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.