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Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Sep 5, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Fortaleza

Bahia
4 - 2
Fortaleza

Rodallega (42', 64', 67', 76')
Teixeira (37'), de Lucca (80'), Capixaba (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pikachu (70'), de Vargas (74')
Titi (90+6')

Preview: Bahia vs. Fortaleza - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In dire need of a win, Bahia will be hopeful of causing an upset when they tackle Fortaleza at Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday morning.

While Bahia suffered yet another defeat last time out, having gone two goals down to Fluminense, Fortaleza played out a goalless draw against Cuiaba to pick up a point.


Match preview

Bahia's Luiz Otavio celebrates scoring their first goal on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Ever since their promotion from Serie B in 2016, Bahia have been consistent enough to establish themselves as a mid-table outfit in the Brazilian top flight, and will be hopeful of continuing to impress in this division.

Once again, Tricolor have their sights set on a comfortable league finish this term, but are currently not doing enough to suggest they will be able to pull this off, having failed to win any of their previous eight league games.

Along the line of this recent Brasileiro slump, Diego Dabove's men were sent crashing out of the Copa do Brasil, after succumbing to a 3-2 aggregate defeat to Atletico Mineiro in early August, to add salt to their wounds.

Last seen in action away at Fluminense, Bahia were outclassed by the hosts, and were comfortably brushed aside, as goals from Lucca and Raul Bobadilla saw them drop down to 16th place in the standings, with 18 points in as many games.

Though Tricolor are quite prolific in front of goal, they have struggled at the other end of the pitch, having conceded 30 goals so far while managing four clean sheets, to hold the worst defensive record in the league.

Fortaleza manager Rogerio Ceni pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Dabove will be counting on his attackers to attempt outscoring Fortaleza, who are seeking Brasileiro glory, having won nine matches so far to occupy third place on the log, six points shy of the summit.

For a side that narrowly escaped relegation last season, Fortaleza are exceeding expectations this time around, as they continue to mount a serious title challenge, remaining hot on the tails of Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro, both of whom are above them.

However, Lion of the Pici appear to have taken their foot off the pedal lately, failing to win any of their preceding three league matches, having been made to settle for a share of the spoils in each of them.

Following a 2-2 stalemate against Sao Paulo in the Copa do Brasil, Fortaleza could not find a way past a resilient Cuiaba side, who held on to secure a point to condemn Juan Pablo Vojvoda's men to a fourth successive draw in all competitions.

Fortaleza, who have become all too accustomed to draws recently, will be keen to return to winning ways in this fixture to keep the pressure on the teams above them in the league.

Bahia Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Bahia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Fortaleza Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Fortaleza form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Fortaleza's Romarinho celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 18, 2021© Reuters

Gilberto, who has notched up 10 goals in the league this term, should continue to lead the line for Bahia, to be supported by Rossi, Rodriguinho and Lucas Mugni in midfield.

Even though he has conceded the highest number of goals in the division so far, the young Matheus Teixeira is expected to remain in goal for the hosts.

The trio of Thonny Anderson, Danilo Fernandes and Juan Pablo Ramirez remain sidelined and are out of contention for this fixture.

Having tested positive for COVID-19 a few weeks ago, Marcelo Benevenuto is not expected in Fortaleza's squad as the player continues to remain in isolation.

Osvaldo Filho and Max Walef, who are nursing thigh and elbow injuries respectively, will be missing for the visitors.

Bahia possible starting lineup:
Teixeira; Paraiba, Conti, Otavio, Capixaba; Daniel, De Lucca; Rossi, Rodriguinho, Mugni; Gilberto

Fortaleza possible starting lineup:
Boeck; Titi, Jackson, Tinga; Crispim, Felipe, Ederson, Pikachu; Vargas; Fernandes, David


SM words green background

We say: Bahia 1-3 Fortaleza

Sporting the worst defensive record in the league, Bahia cannot stop conceding goals and will be facing the difficult task of keeping Fortaleza's rampant frontline quiet in this fixture.

Having failed to win any of their previous three matches, the visitors, who we are backing to stroll to success, will be itching to get back on track with victory over Tricolor in this contest.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bahia vs Fortaleza

Bahia
14.8%
Draw
22.2%
Fortaleza
63.0%
27
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Juventude's Elton celebrates with teammates after the match on June 27, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo430110469
2Atletico Mineiro42207168
3BragantinoBragantino42206428
4Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR42116337
5Bahia42116517
6InternacionalInternacional42114317
7Cruzeiro42117707
8FlamengoFlamengo42114407
9Gremio42024316
10CriciumaCriciuma31206245
11FortalezaFortaleza31204315
12PalmeirasPalmeiras41211105
13JuventudeJuventude412157-25
14Sao Paulo41125414
15Corinthians41123304
16Fluminense411258-34
17Vasco da GamaVasco410349-53
18Vitoria301236-31
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO401327-51
20Cuiaba300308-80


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