Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
We said: Bahrain 2-0 Malaysia
Malaysia look vulnerable on the back end and could be understandably fragile following what transpired in their opening fixture, and that is something we think will work to the advantage of Bahrain.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Malaysia had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Malaysia win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahrain.
| Result |
| Bahrain | Draw | Malaysia |
44.2% ( 0.05) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 28.1% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.38% ( -0.01) |
| 41.05% ( 0) | 58.95% ( -0) |
| 20.57% ( 0) | 79.43% ( -0) |
| 73.47% ( 0.03) | 26.53% ( -0.03) |
