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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Defensa y Justicia

Tigre
0 - 1
Defensa


Fernandez (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (77')
Cannavo (56')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 2-0 Tigre
Friday, February 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Defensa
Saturday, February 10 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 42.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
TigreDrawDefensa y Justicia
42.36% (-1.262 -1.26) 29.69% (0.067 0.07) 27.94% (1.189 1.19)
Both teams to score 41.2% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.6% (0.258 0.26)65.39% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.83% (0.178 0.18)84.16% (-0.184 -0.18)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.57900000000001 -0.58)30.65% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.689 -0.69)66.89% (0.684 0.68)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (1.175 1.18)40.59% (-1.182 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (1.044 1.04)77.19% (-1.049 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 42.36%
    Defensa y Justicia 27.94%
    Draw 29.68%
TigreDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.71% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 12.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.68%
0-1 @ 11.21% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 27.94%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Defensa
2-0
Tigre
Pratto (68'), Tripichio (85')
Castellani (77')

Prieto (30')
Jul 2, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 22
Defensa
1-0
Tigre
Fernandez (46')
Malatini (63'), Cardona (74')

Forclaz (83'), Cardozo (84')
Aug 13, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
0-0
Tigre
Rios (64'), Gutierrez (70'), Colombo (80')
Cabrera (77')
Nov 26, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
2-1
Tigre
Rojas (5'), Fernandez (81')
Montillo (53')
Gonzalez (32'), Moiraghi (63'), Luna (93')
Canuto (68'), Prediger (85')
rhs 2.0
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